Presidential Election 2024 Projections

Presidential Election 2024 Projections. Out of 80,000 simulations, kamala harris won in 40,012 (50.015%) cases. It will take 270 electoral votes to win the 2024 presidential election.

Developed with the assistance of a team of political scientists led by andrew gelman of columbia university, our model calculates kamala harris’s and donald trump’s probabilities of winning each. Nationwide or across the key battlegrounds collectively, neither kamala harris nor.